Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2022-01-10 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 7 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

WSH: 42.8%

BOS: 57.2%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.11

BOS: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

WSH

Z. Fucale

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	Z. Fucale	31	24	7	77.4%	2.37	0	-4.63
BOS	L. Ullmark	30	27	3	90.0%	3.23	2	0.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WSH at home vs BOS: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	WSH 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2026-03-07	BOS 3 - 1 WSH	BOS	BOS
2025-10-08	WSH 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2025-04-01	BOS 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	BOS
2024-12-31	WSH 3 - 1 BOS	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	18	0	1.01
1	BOS	13	0	0.68
2	WSH	19	1	1.37
2	BOS	17	0	0.68
3	WSH	15	1	0.85
3	BOS	14	0	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 7 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4