Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-01-10 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

COL: 58.8%

SEA: 41.2%

Expected Goals

COL: 2.84

SEA: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

COL

P. Francouz

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	P. Francouz	26	23	3	88.5%	2.38	0	-0.62
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	35	31	4	88.6%	2.27	0	-1.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • COL at home vs SEA: 5-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	COL	10	0.39
1	SEA	12	0.76
2	COL	15	0.87
2	SEA	10	0.60
3	COL	17	1.00
3	SEA	14	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2