Vancouver Canucks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-01-11 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

FLA: 54.8%

VAN: 45.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.33

VAN: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 54%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	44	42	2	95.5%	3.90	3	1.90
VAN	Thatcher Demko	26	21	5	80.8%	3.06	2	-1.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs VAN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	VAN 5 - 2 FLA	VAN	FLA
2025-11-17	FLA 8 - 5 VAN	FLA	FLA
2024-12-12	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	VAN
2024-10-17	FLA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2023-12-14	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	14	0	0.76
1	VAN	11	1	1.17
2	FLA	15	0	0.94
2	VAN	18	1	1.40
3	FLA	12	2	1.36
3	VAN	19	1	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3