Detroit Red Wings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-01-11 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings (OT)

Win Probability

SJS: 58.7%

DET: 41.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.60

DET: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 56%

SJS

A. Hill

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	A. Hill	19	17	2	89.5%	1.95	0	-0.05
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	40	37	3	92.5%	4.40	5	1.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs DET: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	DET 4 - 2 SJS	DET	DET
2025-11-02	SJS 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET
2025-01-14	DET 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	DET
2024-11-18	SJS 5 - 4 DET	SJS	DET
2024-01-02	SJS 3 - 5 DET	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	15	2	1.39
1	DET	10	0	0.61
2	SJS	16	1	1.17
2	DET	8	0	0.79
3	SJS	19	2	1.65
3	DET	7	0	0.40
4	SJS	1	0	0.19
4	DET	1	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.6 - 3.1