Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2022-01-12 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

DAL: 50.5%

SEA: 49.5%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.28

SEA: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	25	23	2	92.0%	2.81	0	0.81
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	25	20	5	80.0%	2.35	1	-2.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • DAL at home vs SEA: 10-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	DAL 4 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-11-26	SEA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-11-09	DAL 2 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-03-31	SEA 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-03-29	SEA 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	13	0	0.76
1	SEA	9	0	0.46
2	DAL	10	0	0.90
2	SEA	11	0	0.75
3	DAL	8	1	0.69
3	SEA	22	0	1.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 5 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1