Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-01-13 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

BOS: 56.8%

PHI: 43.2%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.43

PHI: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

BOS

T. Rask

PHI

C. Hart

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	T. Rask	27	25	2	92.6%	2.60	0	0.60
PHI	C. Hart	36	33	3	91.7%	3.64	0	0.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • BOS at home vs PHI: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PHI 2 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-02-28	PHI 3 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-01-29	BOS 6 - 3 PHI	BOS	BOS
2024-12-07	BOS 4 - 3 PHI	BOS	BOS
2024-11-02	PHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	BOS	17	1.11
1	PHI	10	0.48
2	BOS	21	1.72
2	PHI	12	0.76
3	BOS	10	0.81
3	PHI	16	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2