Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-01-13 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

DET: 42.9%

WPG: 57.1%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.76

WPG: 4.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	32	29	3	90.6%	3.75	2	0.75
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	33	33	0	100.0%	1.84	0	1.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	WPG 1 - 5 DET	DET	WPG
2025-12-31	DET 2 - 1 WPG	DET	DET
2025-01-04	WPG 2 - 4 DET	DET	WPG
2024-10-30	DET 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2023-12-20	WPG 5 - 2 DET	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	12	0	0.68
1	WPG	13	0	0.69
2	DET	10	0	0.37
2	WPG	14	0	0.84
3	DET	20	0	0.79
3	WPG	17	2	2.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.8 - 4.1