Buffalo Sabres at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-01-13 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 60.2%

BUF: 39.8%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.85

BUF: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

BUF

A. Dell

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	21	17	4	81.0%	2.82	3	-1.18
BUF	A. Dell	30	29	1	96.7%	2.57	1	1.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NSH at home vs BUF: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	BUF 3 - 2 NSH	BUF	BUF
2026-01-20	NSH 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	NSH
2025-02-08	NSH 6 - 4 BUF	NSH	NSH
2025-01-31	BUF 4 - 3 NSH	BUF	NSH
2024-03-07	NSH 4 - 2 BUF	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	12	0	0.49
1	BUF	15	0	0.57
2	NSH	17	1	1.29
2	BUF	11	1	0.86
3	NSH	12	0	0.78
3	BUF	6	2	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1