Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-01-13 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 46.2%

PIT: 53.8%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.28

PIT: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

LAK

J. Quick

PIT

Tristan Jarry - 16-12-6 | 0.892 SV% | 3.12 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	29	27	2	93.1%	2.54	0	0.54
PIT	Tristan Jarry	45	39	6	86.7%	4.94	4	-1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • LAK at home vs PIT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-09	PIT 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-16	LAK 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	LAK
2025-01-20	LAK 1 - 5 PIT	PIT	LAK
2024-12-17	PIT 3 - 2 LAK	PIT	LAK
2024-02-18	PIT 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	16	1	1.43
1	PIT	11	0	0.81
2	LAK	28	2	2.03
2	PIT	11	0	0.77
3	LAK	16	1	1.48
3	PIT	15	0	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2