New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-01-13 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 0 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 58.1%

NYR: 41.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.94

NYR: 2.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 43%

SJS

A. Hill

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	A. Hill	31	28	3	90.3%	3.10	1	0.10
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	37	37	0	100.0%	2.57	2	2.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs NYR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	SJS 3 - 1 NYR	SJS	SJS
2025-10-23	NYR 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	NYR
2025-03-29	SJS 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	SJS
2024-11-14	NYR 3 - 2 SJS	NYR	NYR
2024-01-23	SJS 3 - 2 NYR	SJS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	12	1	0.60
1	NYR	6	0	0.38
2	SJS	13	1	1.14
2	NYR	17	0	0.73
3	SJS	20	0	0.83
3	NYR	15	1	1.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 0 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.9 - 2.3