Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2022-01-14 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 7 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 51.9%
ANA: 48.1%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.12
ANA: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
K. Kahkonen
ANA
A. Stolarz
| Stat | MIN | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | K. Kahkonen | 42 | 39 | 3 | 92.9% | 2.43 | 1 | -0.57 |
| ANA | A. Stolarz | 42 | 35 | 7 | 83.3% | 2.75 | 1 | -4.25 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MIN at home vs ANA: 7-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | MIN 3 - 2 ANA | MIN | ANA |
| 2026-01-02 | ANA 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-11-15 | MIN 2 - 0 ANA | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-04-15 | MIN 3 - 2 ANA | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-12-06 | ANA 1 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 16 | 0 | 1.02 |
| 1 | ANA | 17 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 2 | MIN | 14 | 1 | 0.83 |
| 2 | ANA | 17 | 1 | 0.78 |
| 3 | MIN | 19 | 0 | 0.90 |
| 3 | ANA | 22 | 0 | 1.04 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 7 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
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