Washington Capitals at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-01-15 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 0 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NYI: 44.3%

WSH: 55.7%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.64

WSH: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

WSH

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	36	34	2	94.4%	4.26	3	2.26
WSH	V. Vanecek	23	23	0	100.0%	3.31	3	3.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NYI at home vs WSH: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	WSH 4 - 1 NYI	WSH	WSH
2025-11-30	NYI 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-10-31	WSH 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	WSH
2025-10-11	NYI 2 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-15	NYI 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	11	0	0.99
1	WSH	17	1	1.56
2	NYI	9	1	0.87
2	WSH	15	1	1.19
3	NYI	12	2	1.45
3	WSH	11	1	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 0 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.6 - 3.5