Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-01-15 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

CAR: 56.3%

VAN: 43.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.21

VAN: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 45%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	31	30	1	96.8%	2.94	0	1.94
VAN	Thatcher Demko	33	29	4	87.9%	3.26	1	-0.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CAR at home vs VAN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	VAN 4 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-14	CAR 4 - 3 VAN	CAR	CAR
2025-01-10	CAR 2 - 0 VAN	CAR	CAR
2024-10-28	VAN 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-02-06	CAR 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	0	1.08
1	VAN	13	0	0.78
2	CAR	16	1	1.31
2	VAN	12	0	1.14
3	CAR	16	0	0.87
3	VAN	19	0	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9