Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-03-24 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 5 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

WPG: 44.7%

OTT: 55.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.00

OTT: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	33	28	5	84.8%	3.61	3	-1.39
OTT	Anton Forsberg	24	22	2	91.7%	1.97	2	-0.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • WPG at home vs OTT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	OTT 4 - 2 WPG	OTT	OTT
2025-12-15	WPG 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-02-26	OTT 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-28	WPG 4 - 2 OTT	WPG	WPG
2024-03-30	WPG 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	11	1	0.58
1	OTT	9	0	0.35
2	WPG	8	1	0.69
2	OTT	16	1	1.19
3	WPG	11	0	0.70
3	OTT	18	2	2.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 5 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2