Vegas Golden Knights at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-02-09 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 6 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

CGY: 66.1%

VGK: 33.9%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.33

VGK: 2.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

CGY

J. Markstrom

VGK

R. Lehner

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	28	28	0	100.0%	2.28	0	2.28
VGK	R. Lehner	33	27	6	81.8%	4.00	4	-2.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CGY at home vs VGK: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	VGK 6 - 3 CGY	VGK	VGK
2025-12-20	CGY 6 - 3 VGK	CGY	CGY
2025-10-18	VGK 6 - 1 CGY	VGK	VGK
2025-10-14	CGY 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-15	CGY 5 - 4 VGK	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	19	1	1.67
1	VGK	7	0	0.27
2	CGY	12	3	1.33
2	VGK	12	0	1.06
3	CGY	12	0	1.01
3	VGK	16	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 6 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.3 - 2.5