Colorado Avalanche at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-01-15 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 0 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 50.7%

COL: 49.3%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.95

COL: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

COL

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	32	27	5	84.4%	3.08	1	-1.92
COL	D. Kuemper	20	20	0	100.0%	1.38	0	1.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ARI at home vs COL: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-18	COL 4 - 3 ARI	COL	COL
2023-12-27	ARI 5 - 4 COL	ARI	COL
2023-12-23	COL 4 - 1 ARI	COL	COL
2023-11-30	ARI 4 - 3 COL	ARI	COL
2023-03-26	ARI 3 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	8	0	0.31
1	COL	14	1	1.02
2	ARI	10	0	0.81
2	COL	18	0	1.56
3	ARI	11	0	0.25
3	COL	12	0	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 0 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5