Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-01-17 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild (SO)

Win Probability

COL: 63.0%

MIN: 37.0%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.21

MIN: 2.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 44%

COL

D. Kuemper

MIN

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	43	40	3	93.0%	3.20	1	0.20
MIN	K. Kahkonen	40	36	4	90.0%	4.14	3	0.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs MIN: 9-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	21	2	1.97
1	MIN	8	1	0.75
2	COL	12	0	0.64
2	MIN	16	0	1.02
3	COL	12	0	0.56
3	MIN	21	0	1.06
4	COL	4	0	0.19
4	MIN	5	0	0.18
5	COL	2	1	0.77
5	MIN	3	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.2 - 2.4