Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-01-19 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 0 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

ANA: 49.9%

COL: 50.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.27

COL: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

COL

P. Francouz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	28	26	2	92.9%	4.19	4	2.19
COL	P. Francouz	34	34	0	100.0%	2.70	2	2.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ANA at home vs COL: 1-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	ANA 1 - 5 COL	COL	ANA
2026-01-21	COL 1 - 2 ANA	ANA	COL
2025-11-11	COL 4 - 1 ANA	COL	COL
2025-04-13	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-20	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	0	0.86
1	COL	11	0	1.01
2	ANA	12	1	0.95
2	COL	17	1	1.38
3	ANA	19	1	0.90
3	COL	16	3	1.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 0 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2