San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-01-20 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

SEA: 55.0%

SJS: 45.0%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.03

SJS: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

SJS

A. Hill

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	25	23	2	92.0%	3.13	2	1.13
SJS	A. Hill	17	14	3	82.4%	1.77	0	-1.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SEA at home vs SJS: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	7	0	0.31
1	SJS	13	1	1.06
2	SEA	10	0	0.96
2	SJS	17	1	1.44
3	SEA	10	0	0.50
3	SJS	11	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0