New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-01-21 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 New York Rangers

Win Probability

CAR: 61.4%

NYR: 38.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.67

NYR: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 54%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

NYR

A. Georgiev

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	23	20	3	87.0%	2.54	1	-0.46
NYR	A. Georgiev	35	29	6	82.9%	4.63	2	-1.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CAR at home vs NYR: 8-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	18	0	1.70
1	NYR	8	0	0.16
2	CAR	21	2	2.24
2	NYR	14	0	1.11
3	CAR	12	0	0.69
3	NYR	16	1	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.7 - 3.2