Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-01-21 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 50.6%

PIT: 49.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.80

PIT: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 50%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

PIT

C. DeSmith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	31	26	5	83.9%	5.07	6	0.07
PIT	C. DeSmith	27	25	2	92.6%	3.06	1	1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CBJ at home vs PIT: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	PIT 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PIT
2026-01-04	CBJ 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-28	CBJ 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	CBJ
2025-10-25	PIT 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-21	PIT 6 - 3 CBJ	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	1	1.66
1	PIT	14	2	1.68
2	CBJ	18	0	1.02
2	PIT	16	1	1.14
3	CBJ	6	0	0.39
3	PIT	12	3	2.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3