Florida Panthers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-01-21 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 2 Florida Panthers (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 55.6%

FLA: 44.4%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.98

FLA: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 54%

VAN

S. Martin

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	S. Martin	37	34	3	91.9%	4.70	2	1.70
FLA	Spencer Knight	31	29	2	93.5%	3.01	1	1.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VAN at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	VAN 5 - 2 FLA	VAN	FLA
2025-11-17	FLA 8 - 5 VAN	FLA	FLA
2024-12-12	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	VAN
2024-10-17	FLA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2023-12-14	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	0	0.66
1	FLA	16	0	1.20
2	VAN	15	0	1.12
2	FLA	10	0	0.45
3	VAN	11	0	0.29
3	FLA	14	0	0.97
4	VAN	1	0	0.13
4	FLA	5	0	0.32
5	VAN	3	1	0.81
5	FLA	3	2	1.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2