Winnipeg Jets at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-01-22 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 49.4%

WPG: 50.6%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.34

WPG: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

BOS

T. Rask

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	T. Rask	24	22	2	91.7%	1.68	0	-0.32
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	32	29	3	90.6%	2.48	0	-0.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • BOS at home vs WPG: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	BOS 6 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG
2025-12-11	WPG 3 - 6 BOS	BOS	WPG
2025-01-30	BOS 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-10	WPG 8 - 1 BOS	WPG	WPG
2024-01-22	BOS 4 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	BOS	9	0.45
1	WPG	13	0.66
2	BOS	22	1.38
2	WPG	10	0.45
3	BOS	15	0.64
3	WPG	14	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0