Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-01-22 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 7 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NJD: 64.2%

CAR: 35.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.11

CAR: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 74%

Over 6.5: 54%

NJD

J. Gillies

CAR

J. LaFontaine

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	J. Gillies	32	28	4	87.5%	2.02	2	-1.98
CAR	J. LaFontaine	38	31	7	81.6%	2.72	2	-4.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • NJD at home vs CAR: 6-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	17	1	0.75
1	CAR	13	0	0.57
2	NJD	14	0	0.80
2	CAR	11	1	0.61
3	NJD	16	1	1.17
3	CAR	16	1	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 7 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9