Arizona Coyotes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-01-22 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 7 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

NYR: 60.4%

ARI: 39.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.18

ARI: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	29	26	3	89.7%	3.18	1	0.18
ARI	K. Vejmelka	27	20	7	74.1%	2.33	0	-4.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs ARI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-30	ARI 5 - 8 NYR	NYR	ARI
2023-10-16	NYR 2 - 1 ARI	NYR	NYR
2022-11-13	NYR 4 - 1 ARI	NYR	NYR
2022-10-30	ARI 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	NYR
2022-01-22	NYR 7 - 3 ARI	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	9	0	0.39
1	ARI	22	1	1.70
2	NYR	17	0	1.16
2	ARI	9	0	0.70
3	NYR	14	0	0.78
3	ARI	11	0	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 7 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7