St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-01-23 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 51.9%

STL: 48.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.92

STL: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

VAN

M. DiPietro

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	M. DiPietro	17	14	3	82.4%	2.10	1	-0.90
STL	V. Husso	39	38	1	97.4%	4.06	3	3.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VAN at home vs STL: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	26	3	2.38
1	STL	11	1	1.17
2	VAN	16	0	0.97
2	STL	6	0	0.45
3	VAN	12	0	0.72
3	STL	6	0	0.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2