Florida Panthers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2022-01-23 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 5 - 3 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 38.0%
FLA: 62.0%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.94
FLA: 3.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA
| Stat | SEA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.920 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.32 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Philipp Grubauer | 31 | 28 | 3 | 90.3% | 4.39 | 4 | 1.39 |
| FLA | Sergei Bobrovsky | 29 | 24 | 5 | 82.8% | 4.58 | 2 | -0.42 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • SEA at home vs FLA: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | FLA 5 - 4 SEA | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-03-15 | SEA 6 - 2 FLA | SEA | FLA |
| 2025-02-22 | FLA 1 - 2 SEA | SEA | FLA |
| 2024-12-10 | SEA 1 - 2 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2023-12-12 | SEA 4 - 0 FLA | SEA | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 20 | 0 | 1.50 |
| 1 | FLA | 10 | 1 | 0.78 |
| 2 | SEA | 15 | 1 | 1.59 |
| 2 | FLA | 19 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 3 | SEA | 10 | 1 | 1.49 |
| 3 | FLA | 18 | 2 | 1.66 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 5 - 3 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.9 - 3.8
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