Anaheim Ducks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-01-24 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 60.6%

ANA: 39.4%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.48

ANA: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

BOS

T. Rask

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	T. Rask	27	22	5	81.5%	2.16	0	-2.84
ANA	John Gibson	26	23	3	88.5%	2.61	1	-0.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • BOS at home vs ANA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	ANA 4 - 3 BOS	ANA	ANA
2025-10-23	BOS 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	BOS
2025-03-26	ANA 6 - 2 BOS	ANA	BOS
2025-02-22	BOS 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	BOS
2023-10-26	BOS 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	7	0	0.57
1	ANA	15	0	1.22
2	BOS	15	0	0.91
2	ANA	12	0	0.48
3	BOS	16	1	1.13
3	ANA	7	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0