Montreal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-01-24 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 8 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

MIN: 57.9%

MTL: 42.1%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.05

MTL: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

MIN

C. Talbot

MTL

Cayden Primeau - 8-9-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.99 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	21	19	2	90.5%	1.11	0	-0.89
MTL	Cayden Primeau	39	31	8	79.5%	3.65	1	-4.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MIN at home vs MTL: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN
2026-01-20	MTL 4 - 3 MIN	MTL	MTL
2025-01-30	MTL 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	MTL
2024-11-14	MIN 3 - 0 MTL	MIN	MIN
2023-12-21	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	29	0	1.63
1	MTL	9	0	0.29
2	MIN	16	0	1.00
2	MTL	9	0	0.33
3	MIN	12	1	1.02
3	MTL	7	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 8 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1