Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-01-24 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

COL: 53.1%

CHI: 46.9%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.70

CHI: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 42%

COL

P. Francouz

CHI

M. Fleury

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	P. Francouz	24	24	0	100.0%	2.26	0	2.26
CHI	M. Fleury	29	27	2	93.1%	2.32	1	0.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • COL at home vs CHI: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CHI 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-02-28	COL 3 - 1 CHI	COL	COL
2025-11-23	CHI 0 - 1 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-02	CHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-10	COL 3 - 0 CHI	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	13	0	0.58
1	CHI	16	0	0.90
2	COL	21	1	1.31
2	CHI	11	0	0.65
3	COL	8	0	0.43
3	CHI	16	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.7 - 3.0