St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-01-24 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 7 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

CGY: 68.7%

STL: 31.3%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.20

STL: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 53%

CGY

J. Markstrom

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	21	20	1	95.2%	2.57	1	1.57
STL	Jordan Binnington	48	41	7	85.4%	6.07	6	-0.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CGY at home vs STL: 2-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	STL
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	CGY
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	25	1	1.61
1	STL	8	0	0.79
2	CGY	27	0	1.79
2	STL	4	0	0.10
3	CGY	19	5	2.67
3	STL	15	1	1.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 7 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0