Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-01-25 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 5 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

WPG: 45.8%

FLA: 54.2%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.98

FLA: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 75%

Over 6.5: 55%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	32	27	5	84.4%	3.13	0	-1.87
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	35	32	3	91.4%	2.91	2	-0.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WPG at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	FLA 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	FLA
2026-01-22	WPG 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-11-19	WPG 6 - 3 FLA	WPG	FLA
2024-11-16	FLA 5 - 0 WPG	FLA	FLA
2023-11-24	FLA 0 - 3 WPG	WPG	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	19	0	0.59
1	FLA	17	0	1.16
2	WPG	10	2	1.22
2	FLA	16	0	1.29
3	WPG	16	0	1.10
3	FLA	10	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3