Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-01-25 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 52.0%

EDM: 48.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.52

EDM: 3.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 55%

VAN

S. Martin

EDM

M. Koskinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	S. Martin	50	47	3	94.0%	5.67	5	2.67
EDM	M. Koskinen	27	25	2	92.6%	2.28	0	0.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	EDM 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	EDM
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	0	0.79
1	EDM	23	2	2.17
2	VAN	10	0	0.69
2	EDM	17	2	1.32
3	VAN	10	0	0.61
3	EDM	19	0	0.92
4	VAN	2	0	0.18
4	EDM	10	1	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.5 - 3.5