Nashville Predators at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2022-01-25 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 55.5%
NSH: 44.5%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.48
NSH: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | SEA | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.920 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.32 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Philipp Grubauer | 27 | 23 | 4 | 85.2% | 2.87 | 0 | -1.13 |
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 35 | 33 | 2 | 94.3% | 3.44 | 1 | 1.44 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SEA at home vs NSH: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | NSH 3 - 1 SEA | NSH | NSH |
| 2026-03-10 | SEA 2 - 4 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2026-01-01 | SEA 4 - 1 NSH | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-03-06 | NSH 5 - 3 SEA | NSH | NSH |
| 2024-11-20 | SEA 3 - 0 NSH | SEA | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 16 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1 | NSH | 13 | 0 | 1.09 |
| 2 | SEA | 17 | 0 | 0.98 |
| 2 | NSH | 15 | 0 | 1.03 |
| 3 | SEA | 12 | 0 | 0.96 |
| 3 | NSH | 11 | 0 | 0.75 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.5 - 3.2
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