Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2022-01-26 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

Win Probability

TOR: 58.5%

ANA: 41.5%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.21

ANA: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 75%

Over 6.5: 53%

TOR

J. Campbell

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
TOR	J. Campbell	24	20	4	83.3%	2.44	1	-1.56
ANA	John Gibson	47	42	5	89.4%	7.30	5	2.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs ANA: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	ANA 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	ANA
2026-03-12	TOR 6 - 4 ANA	TOR	TOR
2025-03-30	ANA 2 - 3 TOR	TOR	ANA
2024-12-12	TOR 3 - 2 ANA	TOR	TOR
2024-02-17	TOR 9 - 2 ANA	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	21	1	1.98
1	ANA	8	0	0.34
2	TOR	17	1	1.70
2	ANA	8	0	0.37
3	TOR	13	1	1.17
3	ANA	13	0	0.40
4	TOR	7	0	0.78
4	ANA	3	0	0.27
5	TOR	3	2	1.67
5	ANA	3	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0