Calgary Flames at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-01-26 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 6 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

CBJ: 39.9%

CGY: 60.1%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.65

CGY: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 52%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	62	56	6	90.3%	4.95	3	-1.05
CGY	J. Markstrom	23	23	0	100.0%	1.80	1	1.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • CBJ at home vs CGY: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	CBJ 5 - 3 CGY	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-05	CGY 5 - 1 CBJ	CGY	CGY
2024-12-03	CGY 3 - 0 CBJ	CGY	CGY
2024-11-29	CBJ 5 - 2 CGY	CBJ	CBJ
2024-01-25	CGY 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	10	1	0.98
1	CGY	21	1	1.71
2	CBJ	11	0	0.58
2	CGY	24	1	1.32
3	CBJ	11	0	0.24
3	CGY	30	1	1.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 6 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2