Los Angeles Kings at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-01-27 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 56.3%

LAK: 43.7%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.13

LAK: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 74%

Over 6.5: 56%

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	30	27	3	90.0%	4.17	4	1.17
LAK	C. Petersen	25	23	2	92.0%	3.42	3	1.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYI at home vs LAK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	NYI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-03-05	LAK 5 - 3 NYI	LAK	LAK
2025-03-11	LAK 4 - 1 NYI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-10	NYI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-03-11	LAK 3 - 0 NYI	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	5	0	0.43
1	LAK	13	1	0.92
2	NYI	15	2	1.63
2	LAK	14	1	1.36
3	NYI	11	1	1.36
3	LAK	15	2	1.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1