Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2022-01-27 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Nashville Predators (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 51.2%
NSH: 48.8%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.37
NSH: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
M. Koskinen
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | EDM | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | M. Koskinen | 33 | 31 | 2 | 93.9% | 2.67 | 2 | 0.67 |
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 49 | 46 | 3 | 93.9% | 6.08 | 4 | 3.08 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • EDM at home vs NSH: 7-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | EDM 3 - 1 NSH | EDM | EDM |
| 2026-01-13 | NSH 4 - 3 EDM | NSH | NSH |
| 2026-01-06 | EDM 6 - 2 NSH | EDM | NSH |
| 2024-11-14 | EDM 3 - 2 NSH | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-10-31 | NSH 1 - 5 EDM | EDM | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EDM | 19 | 0 | 1.35 |
| 1 | NSH | 11 | 0 | 0.42 |
| 2 | EDM | 25 | 2 | 1.97 |
| 2 | NSH | 12 | 2 | 1.21 |
| 3 | EDM | 15 | 1 | 1.19 |
| 3 | NSH | 9 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 4 | EDM | 5 | 0 | 0.55 |
| 4 | NSH | 4 | 0 | 0.37 |
| 5 | EDM | 3 | 1 | 1.03 |
| 5 | NSH | 3 | 0 | 0.23 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.4 - 3.2
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.