San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-01-29 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 4 San Jose Sharks (OT)

Win Probability

FLA: 60.5%

SJS: 39.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.43

SJS: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	34	30	4	88.2%	3.20	3	-0.80
SJS	J. Reimer	50	45	5	90.0%	5.73	2	0.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • FLA at home vs SJS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	FLA 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	FLA
2025-11-08	SJS 3 - 1 FLA	SJS	FLA
2025-01-25	SJS 2 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-07	FLA 3 - 1 SJS	FLA	FLA
2023-11-14	SJS 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	19	0	1.50
1	SJS	17	1	1.23
2	FLA	28	1	2.51
2	SJS	12	1	1.09
3	FLA	17	1	1.54
3	SJS	11	1	0.88
4	FLA	1	0	0.19
4	SJS	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0