Columbus Blue Jackets at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2022-01-30 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 6 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

MTL: 44.5%

CBJ: 55.5%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.89

CBJ: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	36	30	6	83.3%	4.82	5	-1.18
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	35	32	3	91.4%	2.95	1	-0.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • MTL at home vs CBJ: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	MTL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-26	MTL 2 - 1 CBJ	MTL	CBJ
2025-11-17	CBJ 4 - 3 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-12-23	CBJ 5 - 4 MTL	CBJ	MTL
2024-11-27	CBJ 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	12	0	0.79
1	CBJ	17	0	0.77
2	MTL	15	0	0.69
2	CBJ	18	3	1.86
3	MTL	19	1	1.47
3	CBJ	18	2	2.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 6 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0