Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-01-30 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 61.5%

MIN: 38.5%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.72

MIN: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

MIN

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	21	17	4	81.0%	2.05	1	-1.95
MIN	K. Kahkonen	43	40	3	93.0%	4.96	3	1.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYI at home vs MIN: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	MIN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MIN
2025-11-07	NYI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	NYI
2025-04-04	NYI 3 - 1 MIN	NYI	NYI
2025-02-08	MIN 6 - 3 NYI	MIN	MIN
2024-01-15	MIN 5 - 0 NYI	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	15	1	1.68
1	MIN	12	0	0.85
2	NYI	17	1	1.20
2	MIN	8	1	0.61
3	NYI	24	1	2.08
3	MIN	7	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.7 - 2.9