Seattle Kraken at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-01-30 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

NYR: 50.8%

SEA: 49.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.25

SEA: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	42	40	2	95.2%	2.58	0	0.58
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	24	21	3	87.5%	1.94	1	-1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs SEA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	NYR 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-01	SEA 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	SEA
2024-12-08	NYR 5 - 7 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-11-17	SEA 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-01-16	NYR 5 - 2 SEA	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	11	1	0.70
1	SEA	21	0	0.79
2	NYR	10	0	0.40
2	SEA	14	0	0.77
3	NYR	15	0	0.84
3	SEA	21	0	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1