Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2022-02-12 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 54.9%
CHI: 45.1%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.14
CHI: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
V. Husso
CHI
M. Fleury
| Stat | STL | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | V. Husso | 16 | 15 | 1 | 93.8% | 1.70 | 1 | 0.70 |
| CHI | M. Fleury | 31 | 26 | 5 | 83.9% | 3.11 | 1 | -1.89 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • STL at home vs CHI: 8-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | CHI 3 - 5 STL | STL | STL |
| 2026-01-07 | CHI 7 - 3 STL | CHI | STL |
| 2025-12-12 | STL 3 - 2 CHI | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-15 | STL 3 - 8 CHI | CHI | STL |
| 2025-03-22 | STL 4 - 1 CHI | STL | STL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 13 | 0 | 0.88 |
| 1 | CHI | 7 | 1 | 0.59 |
| 2 | STL | 14 | 0 | 1.03 |
| 2 | CHI | 13 | 0 | 0.90 |
| 3 | STL | 17 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 3 | CHI | 3 | 0 | 0.22 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8
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