Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2022-01-30 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 6 - 1 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 46.6%

BOS: 53.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.09

BOS: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	26	25	1	96.2%	1.88	0	0.88
BOS	L. Ullmark	29	23	6	79.3%	2.99	2	-3.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DAL at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	BOS 6 - 3 DAL	BOS	DAL
2026-01-20	DAL 6 - 2 BOS	DAL	DAL
2024-11-14	DAL 7 - 2 BOS	DAL	DAL
2024-10-24	BOS 2 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-02-19	BOS 4 - 3 DAL	BOS	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	18	1	0.94
1	BOS	11	0	0.54
2	DAL	14	0	0.67
2	BOS	9	0	0.58
3	DAL	14	1	1.38
3	BOS	14	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 6 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9