Ottawa Senators at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-02-01 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

NYI: 69.8%

OTT: 30.2%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.42

OTT: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 53%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	27	26	1	96.3%	2.22	1	1.22
OTT	Anton Forsberg	30	26	4	86.7%	2.99	1	-1.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NYI at home vs OTT: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NYI 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-03-19	OTT 3 - 2 NYI	OTT	OTT
2025-10-18	OTT 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	OTT
2025-01-14	NYI 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-08	OTT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	16	1	1.45
1	OTT	10	0	0.70
2	NYI	15	0	1.05
2	OTT	14	0	0.69
3	NYI	9	0	0.48
3	OTT	13	1	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0