Florida Panthers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-02-01 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

NYR: 54.9%

FLA: 45.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.82

FLA: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	36	34	2	94.4%	3.32	0	1.32
FLA	Spencer Knight	35	30	5	85.7%	4.36	3	-0.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • NYR at home vs FLA: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	0	0.73
1	FLA	18	0	0.97
2	NYR	16	0	1.54
2	FLA	23	0	1.83
3	NYR	16	3	2.09
3	FLA	9	0	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0