Arizona Coyotes at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-02-01 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Arizona Coyotes (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 59.7%

ARI: 40.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.52

ARI: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 39%

COL

D. Kuemper

ARI

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	26	23	3	88.5%	2.85	1	-0.15
ARI	S. Wedgewood	41	39	2	95.1%	3.34	1	1.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs ARI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-18	COL 4 - 3 ARI	COL	COL
2023-12-27	ARI 5 - 4 COL	ARI	COL
2023-12-23	COL 4 - 1 ARI	COL	COL
2023-11-30	ARI 4 - 3 COL	ARI	COL
2023-03-26	ARI 3 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	16	0	1.09
1	ARI	10	0	0.94
2	COL	21	1	1.19
2	ARI	12	0	0.51
3	COL	11	0	0.57
3	ARI	9	0	0.33
4	COL	4	0	0.28
4	ARI	2	0	0.08
5	COL	3	0	0.20
5	ARI	3	1	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.5 - 3.3