Edmonton Oilers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2022-02-02 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

WSH: 43.7%

EDM: 56.3%

Expected Goals

WSH: 2.82

EDM: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 50%

WSH

I. Samsonov

EDM

M. Koskinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	I. Samsonov	27	22	5	81.5%	2.45	2	-2.55
EDM	M. Koskinen	27	24	3	88.9%	3.05	1	0.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WSH at home vs EDM: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	EDM 6 - 5 WSH	EDM	EDM
2025-11-19	WSH 7 - 4 EDM	WSH	WSH
2025-02-23	WSH 7 - 3 EDM	WSH	EDM
2025-01-21	EDM 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	EDM
2024-03-13	EDM 7 - 2 WSH	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	11	0	0.77
1	EDM	19	0	0.93
2	WSH	18	0	1.29
2	EDM	12	0	0.47
3	WSH	14	1	0.99
3	EDM	14	2	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2