Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-02-13 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 52.9%

PIT: 47.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.33

PIT: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

NJD

J. Gillies

PIT

Tristan Jarry - 16-12-6 | 0.892 SV% | 3.12 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	J. Gillies	35	31	4	88.6%	4.14	2	0.14
PIT	Tristan Jarry	30	28	2	93.3%	3.08	1	1.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • NJD at home vs PIT: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	9	0	0.55
1	PIT	15	0	1.01
2	NJD	14	1	1.40
2	PIT	16	0	0.77
3	NJD	16	0	1.13
3	PIT	20	2	2.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3