Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-02-24 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 7 - 1 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 40.0%

CGY: 60.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.79

CGY: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	30	29	1	96.7%	3.11	1	2.11
CGY	J. Markstrom	38	31	7	81.6%	4.10	6	-2.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • VAN at home vs CGY: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	14	2	1.07
1	CGY	18	1	1.26
2	VAN	15	2	1.51
2	CGY	15	0	1.11
3	VAN	17	2	1.52
3	CGY	10	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 7 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.8 - 2.7